(the antitheses of global warming)
Welcome. There has now been almost 18 with no measurable atmospheric global warming and a slight cooling in the past 12 years. I will try to give you the answer to the question "is there global cooling?" As you are well aware there is a huge effort around the globe to counter the alleged impact of mankind on the world's climate. If in fact mankind will cause the seas to rise appreciably by causing CO2 induced global warming then certainly let's do something about it. But, what if global warming is not what they say it is? What if the world's temperature is headed in the opposite direction? Global temperatures increased for twenty years from the late 1970s to the late 1990s but have either stopped warming or have begun to cool in the last seventeen years. The global warming and subsequent cooling were even predictable due to hundreds of years of historical trends and observation of the impact of variations in solar activity and ocean cycles on global temperatures.
Did you know that in the past the Roman Period and Medieval Period were both several degrees warmer than today's temperature. The world then cooled at least four degrees from approx. 1450 to 1850. This period was called the Little Ice Age (a period of glacial advance, the same glaciers that have been in retreat until recently). These temperature variations were not caused by man. They were caused entirely by natural forces.
Latest Climate News:
*European winters show cooling trend since 1988 link
*Earliest winter weather in decades hits USA link
*1,350 low temperature records were set in the USA in the last 7 days link
*Atlantic hurricane season ends, 9th year without a major storm hitting US shores, longest period since the Civil War. link
*Great Lakes ice forming, earliest in 40 years. link
*Antarctic ice is getting thicker. link
*The climate pact agreement with China, a swindle. Charles Krauthammer. link
*Weather Channel co founder predicts cold and snowy winter for much of USA. link
*Ice closes upper Mississippi River to shipping, earliest date on record. link
*Seven die in record snows at Buffalo New york with six feet of snow and more on the way. link
*Snowcover over USA in mid November is largest ever for this date, continental temperatures coldest since 1976. link
*The number of wildfires in the USA is declining and is at a 30 year low. link
*Tornadoes in USA in 2014 on pace for a record low link
*Record low temperatures in South link
*Ice forms on Lake Superior weeks ahead of normal. link
*Record low temperatures in western Canada link
*China agrees to cap CO2 emissions by 2030 but is building a new coal fired power plant every ten days. China mines and consumes almost more coal than the rest of the world combined. link
*100 year snow records broken in the USA in late October and early November link
There has been no measurable atmospheric global warming for over 18 years.
Total global polar sea ice is largely unchanged over the past 35 years. Antarctic sea ice set all time record for size in September 2014!! Arctic ice has grown over 60% from just three years ago.
*When adding the sea ice volumes at both poles there is about the same ice as 35 years ago when measurement by satellite began link. The global sea ice in January 2014 was 17,932,000 km², which is the highest ever recorded during January in the satellite era. Antarctica has 90% of the world's ice and had the most sea ice ever recorded in Septermber 2014. link According to a 2012 NASA report Antarctic ice mass is also increasing link. View today's Antarctic sea ice extent compared to the 1979-2007 average (National Snow and Ice Data Center) link link A strong storm in the Arctic during the late Summer of 2012 caused the Arctic ice area to shrink to a record low yet the ice is now expanding at a fast rate. The Berring Sea off Alaska in 2012 had the most ice area ever recorded. link . In September 2013 Antarctica broke another record and had the largest sea ice extent ever recorded link. View today's Arctic sea ice extent, NSIDC link DMI link
The 2014 Arctic ice extent in September 2014 is nearly 2,000,000 sq kilometers larger than just two years prior. link
View todays Antarctic sea ice extent Univ. Illinois Cyrosphere link
See current ice conditions in the Northern Hemisphere link and the Southern Hemisphere link Water temperature and currents and not air temperature is the largest driver of Arctic ice extent, learn why. Link
Global storms and their energy are in decline
The 2013 Atlantic hurricane season was the second slowest in 30 years, and with no major hurricanes forming, the least since 1994 according to NOAA link
Deaths from severe weather events are in declinelink
*The trend for violent tornadoes is in decline in the U.S. which had the fewest tornadoes ever recorded in 2013. link
Global cyclone activity is at 33 year lows at the end of the 2010 hurricane season. Pacific storms are the fewest since recording began in 1945. link
There have been few hurricanes to reach US shores in the past three years which is highly unusual link The U.S. went over 1,000 days in a row without a single hurricane strike.
Studies have shown that coastal storm damage as a percentage of U.S. GDP has been in decline and in spite of their being more and expensive coastal development.
Polar Bear populations are of record size.
Study shows Polar Bear populations have not been harmed by a reduction in Arctic ice. link link Some say Polar Bears are threatened but there are more polar bears today than ever recorded, an increase of 300%+ since the 1950s. link link The scientific name for Polar bears is Ursus Maritimus, which means sea bear. Polar Bears are excellent swimmers and can swim 200 miles or more link. A Polar Bear with a radio tracking collar swam over 400 miles in 9 days and without rest link Polar bears have survived periods when the Arctic melted completely in the past (they moved to land). Polar bear face bright future link See why the reduction in Arctic ice has actually had a beneficial impact on Polar Bears. link
Solar energy is in decline. This has led to cooler temperatures in the past
So what has changed? CO2 concentrations continue to increase yet temperatures have been falling since 2002? Polar ice is growing. Storm intensity is in decline. One reason may be that solar activity is at the lowest level in almost a Century. link link link In the past periods with fewer sunspots and lower solar activity were ones with cooler temperatures. It is believed by some scientists such as Danish Henrik Svensmark that lower solar activity increases cloud formation and this has a cooling effect. If the past is a predictor of the future, these changes in solar activity will cause a 30 year period of cooling temperatures on earth and in fact it appears that this has already begun. See solar activity charts here link See the BBC report, Is our Sun falling silent. link
No one disagrees that the planet did warm in the 20th Century and that temperatures increased in the 1980s and 1990s. Is the increase related to solar activity. The prestigious Max Planck Institute in Germany believes they may be a connection, since solar activity was in the 1980s and 1990s the strongest in over 8,000 years. link
It is clear there is a strong relationship between ocean surface temperatures and cycles Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and atmopsheric temperatures. It appears solar activity drives ocean cycles which in turn influence global temperatures. See the combined impact of ocean and solar cycles on global temperatures link
NASA recently announced that due to the expected multi decade continuation of low solar activity that global temperatures should continue to cool. How much will rising CO2 levels offset this? If the past is a predictor of the future, not much.
There is no consensus of scientists in support of the man made global warming theory.
Consensus is a political term, not a scientific one. Science is not supposed to have consensus. With consensus discovery stops. Many of the great sceintific discoveries went against the medical consensus of the time. link This list of over 1,000 internationally recognized scientists who have come out against the man made global warming theory speak in terms of their own areas of scientific knowledge, and is proof there is no consensus on this issue. Link Here is a list of 1,350 peer reviewed scientific papers that disagree with the man made global warming alarmism. link The AGW consensus has been thoroughly debunked link
Over 1,000 references to global cooling. link
The best and most accurate way to measure global temperatures are from satellites that measure atmospheric temperatures. See how atmospheric temperatures have changed since the start of measurement in 1979 link
Europe, North America and many other areas of the Earth have recently experienced a score of unusually low temperatures. So where is the global warming that we are preparing for? Does anyone really believe that global warming causes global cooling?
As the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans move into their cold dominated multi decadal phase, with solar activity being the lowest in almost two centuries, and the potential for a large north hemispheric volcanic eruption, such as Katla or Bárðarbunga in Icelend, there is a potential for early and late frosts and major disruptions to global agriculture as well as air travel.
Is a carbon cap and trade system that would raise hundreds of billions of dollars each year for the government necessary if in fact the slightly warmer temperatures of 1978-1998 were caused by natural forces such as the Sun's increased activity in that period, and that many scientists are now becoming skeptical of the theory of man made global warming (AGW)? Is the re-engineering of society to reduce CO2 emissions necessary when in the geological history of the planet warming temperatures were never preceeded by rising CO2 levels? Did you know that if this country eliminates 100% of its CO2 emissions China will replace it within in 2 years due to their high growth rate? It appears to me that the man made global warming theory is looking more and more like the Y2K scare of the late 1990s. Perhaps we are seeing a Climate-Industrial Complex.
There are two billion people on this planet that do not have access to reliable electricity and they want it. Who are we to try to stop them? The rapidly increasing global population is mostly in third world countries. If they can modernize then birth rates would drop. As the undeveloped world develops....their CO2 emmissions can only increase. If the AGW theory is in fact true, the only alternative would be for man to adjust to the change, rather than try to stop it.
*the use of information on this website is unrestricted and can be reproduced without permission.
Geoffrey Pohanka, November 2014
p.s. If you want to see most of the concepts below about global warming in a single film, then watch this documentary link
Addendum to EPA report on climate change Dr. Alen Carlin, important reading. link
Climate trends in a few slides: link
*For most of the past 10,000 years the earth was warmer than today's temperatures. link
*2000 years of global temperature data, note the current global warming starting in the mid 1700s, well before man started producing much CO2 link
*The warmest year ever recorded in the USA from 1900 until today was 1934 according to NASA link. The coldest, in the mid 1970s, a period when some scientists and most of the press said the earth was heading toward global cooling if not a return of glaciation. link
*In the 1970's many of the same scientists who today say that man is causing global warming, were claiming that man was causing a return of an ice age. link
*Warmest years in USA according to NASA. 1934 1998 1921 1906 1931 1999 1953 1990 1938 1939
*five of the ten warmest years since 1900 were before 1940!
*the warmest decade in the USA was the 1930s link
*US temperatures have only risen .2 degrees F from 1940!
*see how often state's have set temperature records since 1884 link
*24 of the 50 US States had their highest ever recorded temperature in the 1930s link
*Using just the US rural temperature data (not including temperature sensors near urban areas due to the urban heat island affect), today's US rural temperatures are cooler than those of the 1930's. (David Archibald)
*Global temperatures declined from 1945 through 1979, yet his was a period of rapid industrial expansion and increasing CO2 production throughout the world. If CO2 and temperatures are linked, why did temperatures fall? link
*year of continental record high temperatures:
*Global temperatures have declined in five of the last seven decades even though CO2 levels increased throughout this same period.
According to the 351 year temperature record for central England (CET) as maintained by the UK Met Office, England Summer temperatures in the 20th Century were cooler than those of the 18th Century link
*a survey of US weather stations shows that 80% of them are poorly maintained and located and have a warming bias of several degrees due to land use changes. link
*global temperatures mysteriously jumped when nearly 50% of all global weather stations (many in rural areas) stopped recording climate in the early 1990s. link
*global temperatures have not been warming since 2002 and are somewhat cooler link
*earths temperatures are not constant. There were 23 periods of cooling and warming in the past 500 years with the average cycle being 27 years long. There were two cooling and warming periods in the past 100 years alone. 1880-1915 was a period of cooling 1915-1945 was a period of warming 1945-1977 was a period of cooling 1977-1998 was a period of warming 1998-the present, it has been cooling, all related to changes in solar activity and the Pacific El Nino and La Nina cycles link
Global temperatures today are among the coolest in the last 500 million years link
*The yearly average number of sunspots per year from 1991 through 2007 were 1,361, (according to the S.I.D.C.). Through September of 2008, we are one pace for only 56 sunspots for the entire year. Where is the global warming?
*After the Medieval Period the world cooled 4 degrees centigrade, causing the "Little Ice Age". This was a period of glacial advance from the mid 1400's to mid 1800's. Then the world began to warm once again. Many of the glaciers that are now retreating were ones that grew during this "Little Ice Age".
*The fastest global temperature change ever recorded was from 1696 to 1732. Temperatures declined 2.2 degrees centigrade, which is 4 times the rate of temperature change and three times the speed of the .6 degree change in temperature of the hundred years of the 20th Century.
*while it is true that there has been some warming in the northern hemisphere in the last part of the 20th Century the southern hemisphere has shown no increase and has actually been cooling. link
*There has been some global warming in the second half of the 20th century but the temperature peaked in 1998 and it has been cooling since. Four of the five most active solar cycles since the 1600's were in this same period of warming. Active solar cycles historically have caused warming temperatures.
*The winter of 2007-2008 had the most snow cover in North America, Asia, and Siberia in over 60 years.
*China had its worst winter in over 50 years in the winter of 2007-2008 link
*Many areas of the world experienced a harsh winter in 2007-2008. Quite a few had record low temperatures and it snowed in Baghdad the first time in a century (link), and Saudia Arabia experienced the coldest temperatures in 20 years (link)
*CO2 is a trace gas. It is less than 4/100ths of one percent of gases in the atmosphere.
*of the 186 billion tons of CO2 that enters into the atmosphere yearly only 3.2% is from human activity, the rest is from the oceans, volcanoes, and decaying plant matter.
*there was 15 times more CO2 in the atmosphere than today during the Ordovician-Sulurian glaciation, 5 times more during the Cretaceous-Jurassic glaciation, and more also during the Permain glaciation. link
*CO2 levels closely follow temperature link
*CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere have been as much as 25 times what they are today. Current CO2 concentrations are among the lowest in the past billion years. link
*CO2 is a trace gas, it is less than 4/100's of 1% of all gases in the atmosphere. Of the 186 billion tons of CO2 that enters the earth's atmosphere every year only 6 billion tons are from human activity, the rest is from natural causes (decaying vegatation, volcanic activity, and the oceans). Man only contributes 3% of CO2 in the atmosphere. If CO2 truly caused global warming like they say it does there would have been a catastrophe long ago. link
*Antarctic sea ice extent in 2008 exceeded 1979 in ten of eleven months. Average ice extent was over 17% larger than in 1979. Sea ice thickness was also larger.
*While it is true there has been generally less Summer Arctic Sea Ice in the past two decades this loss has been entirely offset by the growth of ice in the Antarctic. When you combine both poles, there has been no net reduction in global ice! link
*The volume of Antarctic ice in 2008 was averaging one million square kilometers more than normal. Summer ice melt was 40% below the average. link
*There is evidence that the Artic sea ice completely melted at least four times before man first walked the earth. Tropical turtle fossils have been found in the Arctic, proving this area was once much warmer than today.
*recent studies have shown that winds have a larger impact on polar ice formation than does temperature. Changes in winds and sea currents at both poles have caused an increase in ice formation, even though there has not been significant temperature variation in this period. link
*The number of hurricanes per year that hit the US 1901-1950 were 1.94, and only 1.41 from 1951-2001, 28% less. The 1901-1950 hurricanes were also more powerful on average. But property damage from coastal storms has increased due to over development, higher population density, and falling land levels such as at Galveston TX, where land has sunk over 4 feet due to settling and fossil fuel extraction. (Patrick Michael) Where is the global warming?
What drives the climate?
The Sun is not a constant star, it has cycles that average about eleven years in length. Solar activity is constantly changing. Sunspots are used to measure solar activity since the early 1600s, they have been observed and counted for hundreds of years. Cooling periods on earth have occurred when there were fewer sunspots. Similarly, the earth has warmed (such as the second half of the 20th Century) when there were more sunspots.
The sun spot average from 1900 to 1949 was 576 annually, and from 1950-1999 it was 876, an increase of 52%.
With the current solar cycle the sun has become less active once again with fewer sunspots, suggesting that the long period of warming has come to an end and a period of cooling is beginning (based on a long historic correlation between solar activity and global temperatures).
Solar magnetic activity, as measured by the AP index, in December 2009 was at the lowest level since recording began in 1932.
New paper on how the Sun impacts the climate. link
Globe may not be ready for impact of a cooling Sun. link
The sun's influence on cloud formation drives the climate link
Cosmic ray theory said to cause half or all of 20th century warming link
CERN shows solar activity is the primary driver of the global climate link
Svensmark's cosmic ray theory on cloud formation is proven correct by CERN link
David Archibald and the natural forces that drive the climate which will lead to global cooling. link
UN IPCC report includes statements that a solar forcing might include other things than irradiance and a solar-cloud connection might exist. link
NASA says even small changes in solar activity can have a significant effect on the global climate. link
Weak solar cycle 24 and expected even weaker solar cycle 25, expected to cause global temperatures to plummet. Watch out, global cooling is coming. link
NASA report 2011, "Sun headed toward hibernation" link
Solar activity and global climate connection, Joe D'Aleo link
Swedish study shows link between solar activity and global climate over the last 11,000 years, link
6/23/10 Why is the Sun losing its spots? Suart Clark, PhD link
New paper reveals clear solar impact on climate 9000 to 6000 years ago. link
David Hathaway of NASA announces current solar cycle 24 is the smallest in the past 200 years link
Climate Skeptic, Warren Meyer
Is there scientific consensus in support of man made global warming?
Recent Important Articles
Scientist Charles Monnett is suspended pending an investigation of scientific misconduct with regard to polar bear populations link
The Important role played by clouds the global warming debate
CO2 can only raise temperatures by 1.2C. Above that it must trigger positive feedback but is this theory plausible?
Carbon Dioxide and Earth's future link
Rising levels of CO2 cause plants to grow more quickly and arid lands become more productive link
400,000 years of Vostok ice core samples show that CO2 did not cause temperatures to change in the past
Can the Antarctic and Greenland ice shelves collapse?
Is global warming really all that bad?
Proof of the Medieval Warm period and why the warming was global
Roman Period was warmer than today
Why Micheal Mann's famous hockey stick was discredited
Is the rate of animal extinctions increasing due to man?
Are the NASA GISS global temperature records correct?
Al Gore to benefit financially from CO2 controls.
Problems with Al Gore's"Inconvenient Truth"
Air pollution in the United States has been reduced substantially since 1980
Polar ice, is it melting? links:
Is Greenland's ice melting?
Glaciers can melt due to other reasons than global warming
Polar Bear population is growing and is at or near an all time record size, up to 5 times more bears than the 1950s. Links:
Scientist Charles Monnett is suspended pending an investigation of scientific misconduct with regard to polar bear populations link
Polar Bears are powerful swimmers
What is Carbon Cap and Trade?
Areclimate forecasting models accurate?
Does changing solar activity impact cloud formation and thus temperature?
Solar activity is driven by the Sun's internal magnetic field
What is the relationship between historical rises in temperature and CO2?
Is global warming reducing the honeybee population?
California brush fires and global warming
How temperatures are collected impacts the data. The decline in rural stations and temperature averaging makes it seem that temperatures are increasing when they are not
Can carbon sequestration work?
Land based temperature sensors encroached by urbanization, give false data about temperature increases.
Are the globe's forests in decline?
Can wind and solar power replace conventional energy systems? link
The effect on developing nations with control of CO2
Will CO2 cause the the oceans to become acidic? Will coral reefs be impacted by higher CO2 levels?
How long does CO2 stay in the atmosphere?
Ocean temperature and climate
Will the oceans rise 20 feet in the 21st Century like Al Gore says it will?
Are the Pacific Islands threatened by sea rise from global warming?
Letter of the Viscount Monckton of Breshley to John McCain, why the global warming theory is falselink
Why isn't the upper atmosphere warming? Links
Is the warming on Venus due to CO2 high concentrations?
If the CO2 warming theory is correct, what is so unnatural and why do we need to change society to deal with it
Will taxes rise with cap and trade legislation? link
Results of UK climategate investagatgion
The impact of CO2. Links:
Changing atmospheric concentrations of CO2 have always followed temperature changes, and not visa-versa. More CO2 is stored in the oceans in cooling periods and more is released to the atmosphere in warming periods
Are global deaths due to storms increasing?
Will there be more malaria from global warming?
Facts about alternative Energy sources
Global Warming in perspective. Links:
Other climate resource links:
The politics of Climate Change. Misc links:
Sharp Americans are starting to understand H.L. Menckens observation that The urge to save humanity is always a false front for the urge to rule it.
study shows alps are cooling link